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Predictions For The Holidays

Happy Holidays from ESS! Most of the leagues are on break, but England is fitting in a couple of rounds of fixtures in that time. Here are my predictions for the next week. December 26: Chelsea vs. Fulham (Home Win:

Posted in England, Premier League Tagged with: , , ,

Midweek Predictions

There are a couple of midweek games this weekend. Here are the predictions for the games. December 20: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Norwich City (Home Win: 43.7%, Draw: 28.9%, Away Win: 27.4%, Score: 1.51-1.15) Blackburn Rovers vs. Bolton Wanderers (46.5%, 29.1%,

Posted in England, France, Italy, Ligue 1, Premier League, Serie A Tagged with: , , , , , , ,

Predictions For The Upcoming Weekend

Here is the second week of using a new model. December 16: Bayern Munich vs. FC Cologne (Home Win: 72.6%, Draw: 21.4%, Away Win: 6.0%, Score: 2.30-0.68) Benfica vs. Rio Ave (83.6%, 11.5%, 4.9%, 2.40-0.54)

Posted in Bundesliga, England, European Soccer, France, Germany, Italy, La Liga, Ligue 1, Premier League, Serie A, Spain Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Predictions For The Upcoming Weekend

Here are the predictions for the games this weekend. November 25th Udinese vs. AS Roma (Home Win: 45.7%, Draw: 29.4%, Away Win: 24.9%, 1.58-1.16) FC Cologne vs. Borussia Monchengladbach (45.5%, 30.2%, 24.4%, 1.45-1.04)

Posted in Bundesliga, England, France, Germany, Italy, La Liga, Ligue 1, Premier League, Serie A, Spain Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , ,

Predictions For The European Midweek Action

Here are the predictions for the upcoming action in the UEFA Champions League. UEFA Champions League: Bayern Munich vs. Villarreal (70.8%, 13.0%, 16.2%, 2.65-1.02) Napoli vs. Manchester City (44.9%, 28.4%, 26.7%, 1.52-1.10) CSKA Moscow vs. Lille (32.9%, 25.2%, 41.9%, 1.78-1.86)

Posted in UEFA Champions League Tagged with: , ,

Effectiveness Predictions For The Weekend

Last week’s predictions weren’t all that great, but here are the predictions for the games from this coming weekend. October 28, 2011 SC Freiburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen (Home Win: 26.7%, Draw: 27.7%, Away Win: 45.6%)

Posted in Bundesliga, England, France, Germany, Italy, La Liga, Ligue 1, Premier League, Serie A, Spain Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Major League Soccer: End Of Season Effectiveness Statistics

The Major League soccer season ended this weekend and the teams prepare for the playoffs this week. As there are no possession statistics in the data I have, the games are assumed to be 50-50 split in terms of possession.

Posted in Major League Soccer Tagged with: , , ,

Effectiveness Based Predictions For The Weekend

I finally got around to using my effectiveness statistics to make predictions. The idea behind the model is that the every game can be described by four values: offensive and defensive effectiveness for both the home and away teams. Every

Posted in Bundesliga, England, France, Germany, Italy, La Liga, Ligue 1, Premier League, Serie A, Spain Tagged with: , , ,

Analysis Of Offensive And Defensive Effectiveness Stats

This is a closer look at the statistics trying to match the statistics with the performances on the field and in the table. France The statistics show that finishing is key as all of the top teams have the top

Posted in Bundesliga, England, France, Germany, Italy, La Liga, Premier League, Serie A, Spain Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Offensive And Defensive Effectiveness For European Leagues

This is the first installment of the offensive and defensive effectiveness for Ligue 1, La Liga, EPL, Bundesliga, and Serie A this season. As the first update of the season, here is a recap of how it is calculated. There

Posted in Bundesliga, France, Germany, Ligue 1 Tagged with: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

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