The Big European leagues are getting started up this weekend and Germany is one of the first. In general the transfer season has moved fairly slowly, but there has been a lot of news surrounding Bayern Munich and their hiring…
The Big European leagues are getting started up this weekend and Germany is one of the first. In general the transfer season has moved fairly slowly, but there has been a lot of news surrounding Bayern Munich and their hiring…
This has been a season of redemption for Bayern Munich as they have claimed the titles they had lost over the past couple of seasons. They were rampant from start to finish and strolled to the title. In picking a…
The Bundesliga season returns and it should be another great battle between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich. Dortmund have suffered some losses like Shinji Kagawa, but they have reloaded with the addition for Marco Reus. As always, there will be…
Here is the second week of using a new model. December 16: Bayern Munich vs. FC Cologne (Home Win: 72.6%, Draw: 21.4%, Away Win: 6.0%, Score: 2.30-0.68) Benfica vs. Rio Ave (83.6%, 11.5%, 4.9%, 2.40-0.54)
Here are the predictions for the weekend. This model is slightly different as it does not account for shots and shots on goal, and instead only uses goals scored in order to predict results of the next game. December 9,…
Here are the predictions for the games this weekend. November 25th Udinese vs. AS Roma (Home Win: 45.7%, Draw: 29.4%, Away Win: 24.9%, 1.58-1.16) FC Cologne vs. Borussia Monchengladbach (45.5%, 30.2%, 24.4%, 1.45-1.04)
Looking back at my past predictions, the model has been doing decently well since the first week. The database was expanded after the first week, so the extra data made the predictions more accurate. Week 1: 19/49 (38.8%) Week 2:…
This week I’ve also added the expected score in addition to the percentages. November 4, 2011 Mainz vs. VfB Stuttgart (Home Win: 36.0%, Draw: 29.0%, Away Win: 34.9%, Score: 1.30-1.25).
Last week’s predictions weren’t all that great, but here are the predictions for the games from this coming weekend. October 28, 2011 SC Freiburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen (Home Win: 26.7%, Draw: 27.7%, Away Win: 45.6%)
I finally got around to using my effectiveness statistics to make predictions. The idea behind the model is that the every game can be described by four values: offensive and defensive effectiveness for both the home and away teams. Every…
